Project Management, Risk Types & Assessing Risk Severity

Project risks are uncertain events that, if they occur, can impact a project’s objectives. They are generally broken down into core categories: financial, technical, schedule, operational, and external. Proper risk assessment evaluates the probability and impact of these threats to prioritize mitigation strategies.

Detailed Risk Breakdown

1. Financial Risks

These risks relate to project budgets, funding cuts, and cash flow.

  • Cost Overruns: Expenses exceeding the allocated budget.
  • Funding Delays: Cash flow interruptions from sponsors or clients.
  • Currency Fluctuations: Affecting purchasing power for international materials.
  • Severity: High/Critical. Can lead to project cancellation if not mitigated.

2. Technical Risks

Emerging from technology gaps, security vulnerabilities, or poor integration.

  • Technology Failures: Systems crashing or underperforming.
  • Software Bugs: Errors causing glitches or data corruption.
  • Security Breaches: Data theft or loss compromising privacy.
  • Severity: Medium to High. Can completely stall deliverables or undermine final quality.

3. Operational Risks

Internal workflow inefficiencies, process breakdowns, and human factors.

  • Resource Shortages: Missing key team members or materials.
  • Poor Communication: Siloed workflows leading to rework and mistakes.
  • Supply Chain Disruptions: Delays in procuring high-quality goods.
  • Severity: Low to Medium. Tends to erode timelines quietly but can escalate if left unmanaged.

4. Schedule Risks

Risks jeopardizing deadlines, causing timeline slippage or severe delays.

  • Scope Creep: Uncontrolled changes or continuous addition of project requirements.
  • Unrealistic Estimates: Planning overly optimistic deadlines.
  • Dependency Delays: Waiting on third parties to finish preliminary tasks.
  • Severity: Medium to High. Directly impacts client satisfaction and delivery targets.

5. External Risks

Factors entirely outside the project team’s direct control.

  • Market Shifts: Changing customer demand or competitor actions.
  • Regulatory Changes: New laws requiring unexpected compliance adjustments.
  • Environmental/Hazards: Severe weather, natural disasters, or pandemics.
  • Severity: Varies (Low to Critical). Often unpredictable, requiring comprehensive contingency planning.

Assessing Risk Severity

To categorize the severity of risks accurately, project managers typically use a Risk Assessment Matrix based on two factors:

  1. Likelihood: How probable is the event to occur? (1 = Low probability, 5 = High probability)
  2. Impact: How severely would it affect the project? (1 = Minimal effect, 5 = Catastrophic failure)

The combination yields a risk score (e.g., Likelihood × Impact), allowing managers to prioritize risks:

  • Low Risk: Monitored periodically.
  • Medium Risk: Requires a defined contingency plan.
  • High/Critical Risk: Demands immediate, active mitigation strategies.

Project Management, Risk Types & Assessing Risk Severity

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Author: Mark Whitfield

Welcome to my site! After graduating in Computing in 1990, I accepted a position as a programmer at a Runcorn based software house specialising in electronic banking software, namely sp/ARCHITECT-BANK on Tandem Computers (now HPE NonStop). This was before the internet became more prevalent and so the notion of enabling desktop access to company accounts for inter-account transfers and book keeping was still quite a cutting edge idea (and smartphones only ever hinted at in Space 1999). The company was called The Software Partnership (which was taken over by Deluxe Data in 1994). I spent 5 years in Runcorn developing code for SP/ARCHITECT for various banks like TSB, Bank of Scotland, Rabobank and Girofon (Denmark) to name but a few. I then moved onto a software house in Salford Quays for further bank facing projects. After a further 23 years in the IT industry and now a Senior IT Project Manager (both Agile and Waterfall delivery), I thought I would echo out my Career Profile in this corner of the internet for quick and easy access.

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